Cyclones are born in the hot, humid late-summer environment of the tropics (June to August in the Caribbean, November to April in the South Pacific). As the sun warms the oceans surface to temperatures over 27C, evaporation and conduction transfer heat to the atmosphere so rapidly that air and water temperatures seldom differ by more than 1 degree F. The water vapor from the ocean generated by such evaporation is the fuel that drives a tropical storm, because as the vapor condenses into clouds and precipitation it pumps enormous amounts of heat into the cyclone. The fuel supply is controlled by the evaporation rate--which explains why cyclones cannot develop when the ocean temperature is below about 24 degrees Centigrade (76 degrees F). The frequent products of this mix of heat and moisture are several thunderstorms that can become the seedling for a tropical cyclone--but it must be nurtured further. The trigger for most Atlantic hurricanes is an easterly wave, a westward-migrating low- pressure center that may have begun as an African thunderstorm. Typhoons in the Pacific and Ind......

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